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Prognosis and monitoring

A practical survey of prognostic modelling in multiple sclerosis and the steps needed to move prediction into clinical use.

EAN 2022 — AI & MS Workshop

A web sketch of the deck’s central idea
Delivered
Event
EAN 2022 — AI & MS Workshop
Format
Workshop
Source deck
31 slides

From the slides

Deck notes

This workshop reviewed how clinical, imaging and biomarker data have been used to predict disease activity and disability in multiple sclerosis. It also examined reporting quality, bias and the path to clinical translation.

The question

What must a prognostic model do before it can support monitoring and decisions for an individual patient?

Deck outline

  • Prognostic models for disease activity and progression
  • Predicting phenotypic conversion and long-term disability
  • Imaging and fluid biomarkers
  • Reporting standards and risk of bias
  • Biomarker qualification and regulatory pathways
  • Robustness, recovery endpoints and future directions

Take-away

Prediction alone is not enough: useful models need clear outcomes, transparent reporting and evidence that they remain reliable in the setting where they will be used.