All talks & lectures

Conference ·

Transforming multiple sclerosis care using AI: prospects and challenges

How data-driven disease classification could sharpen MS research, and why translation still needs stronger clinical evidence.

The BRAIN Conference 2024 · Royal Geographical Society, London

A web sketch of the deck’s central idea
Delivered
Event
The BRAIN Conference 2024
Place
Royal Geographical Society, London
Format
Conference
Source deck
22 slides

From the slides

Deck notes

This talk considered where artificial intelligence might change multiple sclerosis care, using disease classification as a practical example. It also examined the distance between promising research and routine clinical use.

The question

Can AI move MS classification closer to disease biology while producing evidence that is useful to patients and clinicians?

Deck outline

  • A working distinction between artificial intelligence, machine learning and deep learning
  • The clinical and regulatory landscape for AI-based medical software
  • Why conventional clinical MS types do not fully reflect disease biology
  • Data-driven MRI subtypes and single-sequence image analysis
  • Lessons from randomised evaluations of medical AI
  • Multimodal systems, bias and the path to clinical translation

Take-away

AI can reveal patterns that conventional labels miss, but classification alone is not clinical impact. Translation depends on representative data, prospective evaluation and evidence that an AI-supported decision improves care.

Original deck

Slide by slide

Read the 22-slide presentation in order, or use the index to jump.

  1. Slide 01

    Transforming multiple sclerosis care using AI: Prospects and challenges

    Slide 1: Transforming multiple sclerosis care using AI: Prospects and challengesOpen full-size slide

    Arman Eshaghi, MD, PhD

    NIHR Advanced Fellow

    Queen Square Institute of Neurology

    University College London

    UK

  2. Slide 02

    Conflicts of interest

    Slide 2: Conflicts of interestOpen full-size slide
    • Received travel support from the National Multiple Sclerosis Society and honorarium from the Journal of Neurology, Neurosurgery and Psychiatry for Editorial Commentaries.
    • Received research grants from Biogen, Merck and Roche. He acted as a member of advisory board meetings of Merck Serono and Bristol Myers Squibb.
    • Founder and equity stake holder in Queen Square Analytics Limited.
    • Serves on the editorial board of Neurology (American Academy of Neurology).
  3. Slide 10

    MS types do not match disease “biology”

    Slide 10: MS types do not match disease “biology”Open full-size slide

    Relapsing remitting MS

    Secondary progressive MS

    Primary progressive MS

    Speaker notes

    The effect size, expressed as mean difference in annual percentage cortical thickness change (MD-APC), is graphically displayed in different shades of blue for each of the Desikan-Killiany atlas25 regions presenting significant differences between groups after correction for multiple comparisons.

  4. Slide 11

    Slide 11

    Full image of slide 11Open full-size slide
    Speaker notes

    The effect size, expressed as mean difference in annual percentage cortical thickness change (MD-APC), is graphically displayed in different shades of blue for each of the Desikan-Killiany atlas25 regions presenting significant differences between groups after correction for multiple comparisons.

  5. Slide 12

    Data-driven MS types, Eshaghi et al, Nature Communication, 2021

    Slide 12: Data-driven MS types, Eshaghi et al, Nature Communication, 2021Open full-size slide

    25%

    32%

    43%

    Speaker notes

    The effect size, expressed as mean difference in annual percentage cortical thickness change (MD-APC), is graphically displayed in different shades of blue for each of the Desikan-Killiany atlas25 regions presenting significant differences between groups after correction for multiple comparisons.

    References

  6. Slide 16

    Han et al, Under Review, https://doi.org/10.1101/2023.09.12.23295381

    Slide 16: Han et al, Under Review, https://doi.org/10.1101/2023.09.12.23295381Open full-size slide

    Randomized controlled trials for medical AI

    Speaker notes

    The paper is a scoping review evaluating the current landscape of randomized controlled trials (RCTs) for artificial intelligence (AI) algorithms used in clinical practice. The authors conducted a systematic search for RCTs published between January 2018 - August 2023, resulting in 84 unique trials included in the analysis. The key findings were:

    • Most trials were in gastroenterology (41.7%), radiology (15.5%), surgery (6%), and cardiology (6%).
    • The US (31%) and China (28.6%) had the most trials, with most being single-center studies.
    • 54.8% of trials had primary endpoints related to diagnostic accuracy. Other endpoints assessed care management, patient outcomes, and clinical decision making.
    • 82.1% of trials reported positive results for their primary endpoint, suggesting AI’s potential to improve healthcare. However, publication bias is likely.
    • Most models were deep learning systems for medical imaging, particularly video analysis. Models for structured data used various techniques like neural networks.
    • Industry developed most models (56%), followed by academia (39.3%). Models were commonly evaluated in an assistive setup with clinicians.

    Page 2: Key implications and limitations:

    • Need for more multi-center and international trials to ensure generalizability of models across diverse populations and settings.
    • Focus has been on technical performance, but impact on patient outcomes needs more assessment through endpoints like survival, symptoms, need for treatment.
    • High reported success rate indicates promise of AI but is likely inflated by publication bias and lack of comprehensive, multi-center studies.
    • Homogeneity of studies/models indicates immaturity of the field. More variety needed in research groups, interventions, outcomes assessed.
    • Understanding of AI’s limitations requires focus on unsuccessful trials and models.

    In conclusion, the review reveals expanding interest in clinical AI trials across many fields and geographies. While most find positive results, publication bias is likely. More comprehensive research is essential to fully understand AI’s impact and limitations in healthcare. Key gaps include multi-center trials, clinically meaningful endpoints, and unsuccessful models.

    References

  7. Slide 19

    Source: https://blog.research.google/2023/08/multimodal-medical-ai.html

    Slide 19: Source: https://blog.research.google/2023/08/multimodal-medical-ai.htmlOpen full-size slide

    ELIXR: Multimodal AI

    Xu et al, Under Review, expected 2024

  8. Slide 21

    Summary

    Slide 21: SummaryOpen full-size slide

    Definitions

    Emerging use in research

    Lengthy path to translation

    Next five to 10 years